Saturday, November 10, 2012

Hi,
After a long time I've come back. So let me give some updated information to all of you. Continuously I'm getting all feedbacks/questions from you people and hoping you all got satisfactory respond from my side.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Books, Papers and Syllabus for Indian Statistical Services (ISS)

Syllabus

General English: Candidates will be required to write an essay in English. Other questions will be designed to test their understanding of English and workmanlike use of words. Passages will usually be set for summary or precise.
General Studies: General Knowledge including knowledge of current events and of such matters of everyday observation and experience in their scientific aspects as may be expected of an educatedperson who has not made a special study of any scientific subject. The paper will also include questions on Indian Polity including the political system and the Constitution of India, History of India and Geography of a nature, which a candidate should be able to answer without special study.
Paper-I
(i) Probability:
Elements of measure theory, Classical definitions and axiomatic approach. Sample space. Class of events and Probability measure. Laws of total and compound probability. Probability of m events out of n. Conditional probability, Bayes' theorem. Random variables - discrete and continuous. Distribution function. Standard probability distributions - Bernoulli, uniform, binomial, Poisson, geometric, rectangular, exponential, normal, Cauchy, hypergeometric, multinomial, Laplace, negative binomial, beta, gamma, lognormal and compound. Poisson distribution. Joint distributions, conditional distributions, Distributions of functions of random variables. Convergence in distribution, Convergence in probability, with probability one and Convergence in mean square. Moments and cumulants. Mathematical expectation and conditional expectation. Characteristic function and moment and probability generating functions. Inversion uniqueness and continuity theorems. Borel 0-1 law: Kolmogorov's 0-1 law. Tchebycheff's and Kolmogorov's inequalities. Laws of large numbers and central limit theorems for independent variables. Conditional expectation and Martingales.

(ii) Statistical Methods:
(a) Collection, compilation and presentation of data, Charts, diagrams and histogram. Frequency distribution. Measures of location, dispersion, skewness and kurtosis. Bivariate and multivariate data. Association and contingency. Curve fitting and orthogonal polynomials. Bivariate normal distribution. regression-linear, polynomial. Distribution of the correlation coefficient, Partial and multiple correlation, Intraclass correlation, Correlation ratio.
(b) Standard errors and large sample test. Sampling distributions of x,s2, t, chi-squre and F; tests of significance based on them, Small sample tests.
(c) Non-parametric tests-Goodness of fit, sign, median, run, Wicloxon, Mann-Whitney, Wald-Wolfowitz and Kolmogorov-Smirnov. Rank order statistics-minimum, maximum, range and median. Concept of Asymptotic relative effciency.


(iii) Numerical Analysis:
Interpolation formulae (with remainder terms) due to Lagrange, Newton-Gregory, Newton Divided different, Gauss and Striling. Euler-Maclaurin's summation formula. Inverse interpolation. Numerical integration and differentiation. Difference equations of the first order. Linear difference equations with constant coefficients.

Paper-II
(i) Linear Models:
Theory of linear estimation. Gauss-Markoff setup. Least square estimators. Use of g-inverse. analysis of one-way and two way classified data-fixed, mixed and random effect models. Tests for regression coefficients.

(ii) Estimation:
Characteristics of good estimator. Estimation methods of maximum likelihood, minimum chi-square, moments and least squares. Optimal properties of maximum likelihood estimators. Minimum variance unbiased estimators. Minimum variance bound estimators. Cramer-Rao inequality. Bhattacharya bounds. Sufficient estimator. factorisation theorem. Complete statistics. Rao-Blackwell theorem. Confidence interval estimation. Optimum confidence bounds. Resampling, Bootstrap and Jacknife.

(iii) Hypotheses testing and Statistical Quality Control:
(a) Hypothesis testing:
Simple and composite hypothesis. Two kinds of error. Critical region. Different types of critical regions and similar regions. Power function. Most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests. Neyman-Pearson fundamental lemma. Unbiased test. Randomised test. Likelihood ratio test. Wald's SPRT, OC and ASN functions. Elements of decision and game theory.
(b) Statistical Quality Control:
Control Charts for variable and attributes. Acceptance Sampling by attributes-Single, double, multiple and sequential Sampling plans; Concepts of AOQL and ATI; Acceptance Sampling by variables-use of Dodge-Romig and other tables.


(iv) Multivariate Analysis:
Multivariate normal distribution. Estimation of mean Vector and covariance matrix. Distribution of Hotelling's T2-statistic, Mahalanobis's D2-statistic, and their use in testing. Partial and multiple correlation coefficients in samples from a multivariate normal population. Wishart's distribution, its reproductive and other properties. Wilk's criterion. Discriminant function. Principal components. Canonical variates and correlations.
Paper-III
(i) Sampling Techniques:
Census versus sample survey. Pilot and large scale sample surveys. Role of NSS organization. Simple random sampling with and without replacement. Stratified sampling and sample allocations. Cos and Variance functions. Ratio and Regression methods of estimation. Sampling with probability proportional to size. Cluster, double, multiphase, multistage and systematic sampling. Interpenetrating sub-sampling. Non-sampling errors.

(ii) Design and Analysis of Experiments:
Principles of design of experiments. Layout and analysis of completely randomised, randomised block and Latin square designs. Factorial experiments and confounding in 2n and 3n experiments. Split-plot and strip-plot designs. Construction and analysis of balanced and partially balanced incomplete block designs. Analysis of covariance. Analysis of non-orthogonal data. analysis of missing and mixed plot data.

(iii) Economic Statistics:
Components of time series. Methods of their determination-variate difference method. Yule-Slutsky effect. Correlogram. Autoregressive models of first and second order. Periodogram analysis. Index numbers of prices and quantities and their relative merits. Construction of index numbers of wholesale and consumer prices. Income distribution-Pareto and Engel curves. Concentration curve. Methods of estimating national income. Inter-sectoral flows. Inter-industry table. Role of CSO.

(iv) Econometrics:
Theory and analysis of consumer demand-specification and estimation of demand functions. Demand elasticities. Structure and model. Estimation of parameters in single equation model-classical least squares, generalised least-square, heteroscedasticity, serial correlation, multi-collinearity, errors in variable model. Simultaneous equation models-Identification, rank and other conditions. Indirect least squares and two stage least squares. Short-term economic forecasting.

Paper-IV
(i) Stochastic Processes:
Specifications of a Stochastic Process, Markov chains, classification of states, limiting probabilities; stationary distribution; Random walk and Gambler's ruin problem. Poisson process, Birth and death process; applications to Queues-M/M/I and M/M/C models. Branching Process.

(ii) Operations Research:
Elements of linear programming. Simplex procedure. Pirnciple of duality. Transport and assignment problems. Single and multi-period inventory control models. ABC analysis. General simulation problems. Replacemnet models for items that fail and or items that deteriorate.

(iii) Demography and Vital Statistics:
The life table, its constitution and properties. Makehams and Gompertz curves. National life tables. UN model life tables. Abridged life tables. Stable and stationary populations. Different birth rates. Total fertility rate. Gross and net reproduction rates. Different mortality rates. Standardised death rate. Internal and international migration: net migration. International and postcensal estimates. Projection method including logistic curve fitting. Decennial population census in India.

(iv) Computer Application and Data Processing
(a) Computer Application
Computer system concepts: Computer system components and functions. The Central Processing unit, Main memory, Bit, Byte, Word, Input/Output Devices, Speeds and memory Capacities in computer systems.
Software concepts: Overview of Operating Systems, Types and Functions of Operating System, application Software, Software for multi-tasking, multi-programming, Batch Processign Mode, Time sharing mode, Concept of System Support Programme, Overview of Existing Software packages on Word Processing and Spreadsheets.
Overview of an application Specific Programme: Flow charts, Basics of Algorithm, Fundamental of design and analysis of Algorithm; Basics of data structure, Queue, Stack.
(b) Data Processing
Data processing: Digital Number System, Number conversions, Binary representation of integers, Binary representation of real numbers, Logical Data element like cjharacter, fields, records, files, Fundamentals of data transmission and processing incluidng error contro and error processing.
Data base management: Data Resource management. Data base and file organisation and procesing.(a) Direct, (b) Sequantial, (c) Indexed Sequential file.Concepts of Client Server architecture, Data Base Administrator. An overview of DBMS software.

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Papers
All papers you can download from www.examrace.com but these papers are protected and not clearly visible. Also for 10 years papers, Get in touch with
Satish and Brothers ,
Publishers and Book Sellers, 9666,
Islamganj, Library Road,
Azad Market, DELHI - 110006
To make contact you must need his phone number. Right!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! So njoy 011-23540209
Question papers are pretty cheap...Rs. 50- 60 per subject. They publish papers in Hindi Medium also. You can request them to send to papers by VPP.
On the other hand you can use http://puspendras.googlepages.com/ISS to get questions in a proper manner with wise which might be more helpful for you during completion of course.
Books
(1) Mathematical Statistical by Gupta and Kapoor
(2) Applied Statistics by Gupta and Kapoor
(3) Mathematical Statistical by Parimal Mukhopadhyay
(4) An introdunction to Multivariate Analysis by T.W.Anderson
(5) An outline of Statistics (Vol I and II both) by Goon Gupta and Dasgupta
(6) Stochastic Processes : Jyotiprasad Medhi
(7) A first course in linear model theory By Nalini Ravishanker, Dipak Dey
Apart from these books you can also refer your class notes and tution notes. One important thing if you can arrange Actuarial Material for studing some parts of this course, then it would be more helpful for you.
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I will be updating my BLOG and my HOMEPAGE regulary, any suggestions and queries are welcome form your side.
If you feel any problem in understanding anything (part of statistics) or any further information regarding notes or papers, you can post your questions here or you can mail me at puspendra.pusp22@gmail.com.

IES/ISS--------UPSC

UNION PUBLIC SERVICE COMMISSION (UPSC)
INDIAN ECONOMIC SERVICE (IES)/ INDIAN STATISTICAL SERVICE (ISS) EXAMINATION , 2009 Job Description : The Union Public Service commission will hold the Indian Economic Service (IES)/ Indian Statistical Service (ISS) Examination commencing from 21st November, 2009 for recruitment to Grade IV of the Indian Economic Service (IES) and Indian Statistical Service (ISS). The examination will be held at various centres across the country.
Conditions of Elgibility
(A) Age Limits, Sex and Marital Status:Age Limit : Candidates must have attained the age of 21 years and must not have attained the age of 30 years on 1st January, 2009. Relaxation in the upper age limit as per Govt. of India rules.(B) Educational Qualifications:
A candidate for the Indian Economic Service (IES) must have obtained a Post-Graduate degree in Economics/Applied Economis/ Business Economics/ Econometrics and candidate for the Indian Statistical Service (ISS) must have obtained a Post-Graduate degree in Statistics/ Mathematical Statistics / Applied Statistics from a recognised University.(C) Physical Standards: candidates must be physically fit according to the physical standards for Indian Economic Service / Indian Statistical Servicce Examination, 2009 as prescribed in the detailed advertisement.Application form: The candidates must apply in the Common Application Form devised by the commission for its examination, which can be purchased from the designated Head Post Offices/Post Ooffices throughout the country against cash payment of Rs. 20/-
Application Fee : Rs. 100/- through Central Recruitment Fee Stamp only. SC/ST candidates are exempted from payment of fees. OBC candidates are required to pay full fees.Address and Last date for Receipt of Applications: All applicants must reach the “Secretary, Union Public Service commission, Dholpur house, Shahjahan Road, New Delhi – 110069″ either by hand or by Post/Speed Post only or by courier, on or before 06/07/2009. For candidates of far-flung areas and abroad the last date is 13th July, 2009.

All these information you can from the site http://www.upsc.gov.in/